After touchdown his 11/1 finest guess treble final weekend, our soccer betting professional Jones Is aware of is again to supply his perception on each Premier League sport.
West Ham vs Chelsea, Saturday 12.30pm
Do not be fooled by Chelsea’s file of successful their final 4 Premier League away video games, the place they’ve scored 12 targets. This crew are nonetheless miles away from being thought of a top-four contender primarily based on the underlying numbers behind these performances – particularly the 2 wins this season at Wolves and Bournemouth.
The combination rating could learn 7-2 to Chelsea throughout these video games however the anticipated targets numbers painted an image of two.51-3.74 – an enormous overperformance and one which makes their value for an away win at Evens with Sky Wager look ripe for taking up.
West Ham have greater than sufficient about them throughout their frontline to begin punishing this Chelsea defence for the high-quality probabilities they’re providing up. House win.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1
Aston Villa vs Wolves, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 TO WIN £250,000!
After what we noticed final weekend within the Premier League with the excessive card counts this fixture has the potential to observe swimsuit. It is a notoriously card-heavy sport involving two golf equipment that do not like each other a lot in what’s a creating derby.
Throughout the final eight fixtures between the 2, the per-game bookings factors common is available in at a whopping 67 factors.
That instantly makes the Evens on provide with Sky Wager for 60 or extra bookings factors (10 for a yellow, 25 for a crimson) a runner, particularly when Villa have drawn 15 yellows of their final 4 matches throughout all competitions.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1
Fulham vs Newcastle, Saturday 3pm
Fulham have a wretched file towards Newcastle, dropping the final six conferences whereas having a participant despatched off in three of the final seven. They’ve additionally scored simply twice in these seven earlier clashes, blanking on 5 events.
I would be shocked in the event that they failed to attain once more, although, primarily based on Newcastle’s defensive output this season.
Sure, Eddie Howe’s males are unbeaten having taken 10 factors from a attainable 12, however they’ve confronted a mean of 1.63 of anticipated targets towards per 90 together with averaging 16.5 pictures confronted per 90. Solely two groups have confronted extra pictures – and the Toon have had a considerably variety opening set of fixtures.
Popping out on prime when the margins are advantageous in matches is not a sustainable means of choosing up factors so I would anticipate some regression with their outcomes earlier than too lengthy.
It may come right here, the place Fulham are a tempting 9/5 with Sky Wager for victory.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1
Leicester vs Everton, Saturday 3pm
Leicester stay a crew I am eager on opposing regardless of constructive outcomes towards Tottenham and Crystal Palace.
They’ve misplaced the anticipated targets battle, shot depend and nook race in all 4 of their Premier League video games. Their underlying metrics have been dismal.
If Everton cannot get a consequence right here then Sean Dyche can have some big inquiries to reply.
Nevertheless, if his crew assault like they’ve carried out within the final two matches, they need to win this match – and look a guess with the percentages on provide.
They’ve created seven massive probabilities throughout their final two video games to a wholesome anticipated targets determine of two.10. The dynamic of Iliman Ndiaye, Dwight McNeil and Dominic Calvert-Lewin appeared fairly thrilling in ahead areas towards Bournemouth and Aston Villa.
They need to show too scorching for Leicester to deal with, with the away win at 8/5 with Sky Wager trying very beneficiant.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Everton to beat Leicester (8/5 with Sky Wager – a part of 9/1 weekend treble!)
Liverpool vs Bournemouth, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 TO WIN £250,000!
Andoni Iraola goes locations as a supervisor however backing this Bournemouth crew to beat a top-six facet has develop into an costly pastime.
They’ve now didn’t win any of 12 Premier League video games vs final season’s top-six – successful simply two factors from a attainable 36. They are going to head to Anfield as energetic outsiders and make life fiddly for Arne Slot’s males however they’re unimaginable to fancy to get a consequence – even when the 8/1 for an away win sounds juicy.
Discovering a method to get Liverpool onside is difficult at such prohibitive odds, however including Dominik Szoboszlai to attain into the combo is an attention-grabbing tactic at 9/2 with Sky Wager.
He netted his first objective of the season in midweek vs AC Milan and was genuinely excellent together with his all-around sport in becoming a member of the entrance three. He is had 10 pictures in 5 video games below Slot and I am anticipating his objective output to extend this season.
SCORE PREDICTION: 3-1
Southampton vs Ipswich, Saturday 3pm
If the Southampton that performed the ultimate 60 minutes towards Manchester United flip up, making a case for them to win at 6/5 with Sky Wager goes to be a tricky ask for individuals who nonetheless place confidence in Russel Martin. This can be a massive one for him.
Hope may spring everlasting for Saints within the type of Tyler Dibling, whose first-half efficiency towards United was massively eye-catching.
What obtained my punting juices flowing concerning his attacking output was the best way he moved and drew fouls like Jack Grealish. He received 4 fouls in 63 minutes of motion together with his reverse quantity Diogo Dalot racking up a complete foul depend of 4.
That’s an thrilling angle that we must be able to exploiting within the fouls markets, with opposition left-back for Ipswich Leif Davis in focus right here. He is made at the least one foul in his final seven begins for Ipswich and is 6/4 with Sky Wager to make two or extra on this one.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
Tottenham vs Brentford, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 TO WIN £250,000!
Brentford are precisely the kind of opposition Ange Postecoglou does not want proper now.
In case you have been cooking up a recipe for a crew to bother Tottenham on the minute, Brentford have the proper elements in that the house crowd will anticipate a win and the Bees are a wonderful low-block defensive crew who’re a large risk from set-pieces.
Spurs have now conceded 13 targets from corners this calendar yr and Brentford are extremely inventive and harmful from such conditions having created the second highest quantity of anticipated targets (15.4) from set-pieces within the Premier League final season.
This has all of the hallmarks of a nervy, irritating form of fixture for Spurs if they do not rating early and I am very eager on taking up targets on the costs.
The market has this sport producing 3.2 targets which seems excessive primarily based on Tottenham’s issues creating high quality probabilities of late. I would fortunately swim towards the targets tide with the below 3.5 line at 4/6 with Sky Wager trying good.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Beneath 3.5 targets (8/11 with Sky Wager – a part of 9/1 weekend treble!)
Crystal Palace vs Manchester United, Saturday 5.30pm, dwell on Sky Sports activities – PLAY SUPER 6 TO WIN £250,000!
Who would you relatively have answerable for your membership: Oliver Glasner or Erik ten Hag?
In case you stated Oliver Glasner, congratulations.
It is exhausting to get Crystal Palace’s 4-0 battering of United final season out of my pondering when assessing this sport as Glasner’s soccer bewildered and perplexed United, who have been admittedly with out some massive hitters.
Regardless of United delivering for us final week at Southampton, it is exhausting to be too enthusiastic on their probabilities when priced up as 13/10 favourites with Sky Wager. The primary half displaying was – once more – alarming.
As soon as they obtained the opening objective there was solely going to be one winner however that is extra to do with how Southampton folded than Ten Hag’s crew getting right into a groove. The jury continues to be out on whether or not this crew is shifting ahead and I am comfortable to facet with Glasner to showcase his tactical nous over his counterpart.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1
Brighton vs Nottingham Forest, Sunday 2pm, dwell on Sky Sports activities – PLAY SUPER 6 TO WIN £250,000!
Brighton’s offside line below Fabian Hurzeler fascinates me. It is a defence that has caught 31 gamers offsides in six video games, leading to a per sport common of 5.1, with Wolves caught offside 9 occasions in midweek.
It is such a brave, aggressive method to play but when opposition groups get the ultimate cross proper it does go away Brighton open to conceding high-quality probabilities on their objective.
This is the reason I am comfortable to mix an offsides and a Forest targets play by means of the Construct A Wager perform on Sky Wager. You will get 6/4 with Sky Wager on each groups scoring and Forest being caught offside three or extra occasions.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
Manchester Metropolis vs Arsenal, Sunday 4.30pm, dwell on Sky Sports activities – PLAY SUPER 6 TO WIN £250,000!
Arsenal’s value for the win to nil has been seducing me all week ever since I clapped eyes on it.
That 13/2 with Sky Wager is simply too massive to cross up.
This can be a crew which have received 10 of their 11 Premier League video games away from residence in 2024, conceding simply three targets alongside the best way. A crew with such energy, organisation and sophistication who’re rated with only a 22 per cent likelihood of victory to win a soccer match appears improper – even towards a juggernaut like Manchester Metropolis.
A juggernaut, albeit, that’s regressing, particularly in defence as groups can expose them on the counter-attack. Brentford and Inter Milan have confirmed us this in current days nevertheless it’s been taking place for some time and was the explanation why Actual Madrid knocked them out of the Champions League final marketing campaign.
Brentford countered with such ease final Saturday particularly within the first half, after they may have been 3-0 up. Metropolis conceded 5 or extra pictures heading in the right direction for simply the second time in a house sport below Pep Guardiola and Brentford even received the possession battle earlier than the break.
After which Inter had 10 pictures within the first half in midweek as they discovered it very straightforward to interrupt by means of on the Metropolis backline through some intelligent passing and driving runs. They turned the primary opposing facet to have 10 or extra pictures within the first half of a Champions League sport on the Etihad since Monaco in February 2017.
Arsenal are ruthless sufficient at each ends of the pitch to take benefit and the Evens on provide for them to keep away from defeat is the worth name, as is the 13/2 win to nil value.
Assertion victory, ahoy.