Wolves to get a outcome towards Liverpool? Our soccer betting knowledgeable Jones Is aware of is again to supply his perception on each Premier League sport.
Newcastle vs Man Metropolis, Saturday 12.30pm
Newcastle have change into very tame underneath Eddie Howe.
Once they roared to Champions League qualification they have been fierce, energetic and horrible to play towards. They’re none of these issues of their present guise – and have been woefully uncovered at Fulham final weekend. A outcome that had been coming for some time after some fine-margin victories the place that they had run away from their poor underlying numbers.
Since November final 12 months – a run of 33 video games – when assessing ever current Premier League groups, solely West Ham have averaged extra anticipated objectives towards per 90 than Newcastle – that is 1.83 a sport.
And their photographs confronted information is sending out alarm bells.
Remarkably, Newcastle have conceded 10 or extra photographs of their final 26 Premier League fixtures and that equates to a photographs confronted per sport common of 15.8 – the third worst document within the Premier League over that timeframe.
That lack of ability to stem the circulate in direction of your objective leaves them mightily weak to a correct shellacking from Manchester Metropolis if Pep Guardiola’s staff are within the temper.
It would sound obviously apparent however the Evens on supply for Metropolis to win and Erling Haaland to attain – a person who’s averaging a objective each 53 minutes throughout his final 11 Premier League appearances – seems to be a winner in ready.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-3
Arsenal vs Leicester, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
Have a Premier League staff ever been shorter than 8/11 to win a sport to nil?
Nicely, that is the value surrounding this monstrous Arsenal defence shutting out Leicester and profitable the sport. It will in all probability land however boy that may be a brief value.
I would a lot somewhat again the underneath 2.5 objectives line at 6/4 with Sky Wager in anticipation that Arsenal might put their cue on the rack to protect vitality throughout this relentless run of seven video games in 23 days. That is additionally the kind of sport the place they’re going to miss Martin Odegaard’s creativity to interrupt down what will probably be a really low block by Leicester. A low-scoring residence win it’s.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-0
Brentford vs West Ham, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
No staff have made extra fouls within the Premier League than West Ham (80) and with the strain rising after what has been a shoddy begin to the season, I would count on related averages to be hit right here.
With a central midfield of Lucas Paqueta (1.81 fouls per sport in final 30 begins), Carlos Soler (made six fouls in simply 120 minutes of motion) and Tomas Soucek (1.58 fouls per sport in final 30 begins), it is that space of the pitch the place the majority of foul play might happen.
Utilizing the BuildABet perform with Sky Wager, I would advise combining Lucas Paqueta to make 2+ fouls and Vitaly Janelt to be fouled not less than as soon as which brings out a 6/4 shot that stands an important likelihood of touchdown in a sport the place the draw is fancied.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
Chelsea vs Brighton, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
Brighton to win the nook race at 2/1 with Sky Wager is a correct banging wager.
Groups that prefer to play an aggressive excessive line are notoriously related to conceding fewer corners.
It is sensible.
The important thing objective of attempting to catch opposition gamers offside is to maintain them from having sustained strain in your objective. In the event you can maintain a staff away out of your field, then the chance of the opposition managing to publish photographs that would result in corners or getting deep down the wings to pressure corners is diminished.
To simplify the idea, the upper and extra aggressive the defensive position, the less corners are prone to be conceded. And the market does not value up the nook markets with that factored in, so we’re in enterprise.
The development is already there for Fabian Hurzeler’s groups conceding a low quantity of corners from his time at St Pauli, who received the Bundesliga 2 title final season and conceded simply 130 corners to a mean of simply 3.8 per sport – the fewest of any staff.
It has continued at Brighton, who’ve solely conceded simply 2.2 corners per 90 this season. It is a fashion of soccer that does result in huge probabilities being supplied up on their objective however not a excessive quantity of corners through sustained strain. They’ll prohibit Chelsea to a low quantity and rack up the nook rely on the different finish.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Brighton to win most corners (2/1 with Sky Wager)
Everton vs Crystal Palace, Saturday 3pm
Regardless of winless begins for each groups, there have been shoots of hope in ahead areas.
The Everton entrance 4 mixed dangerously collectively at Leicester for 60 minutes and may have put the sport to mattress, whereas when you might have Eberechi Eze you all the time have an opportunity in a soccer match. Palace stay a menace to anybody.
Sean Dyche will need this to be a gritty, no-thrills fashion of sport however Everton’s aren’t defending securely sufficient to try this.
The over 2.5 objectives line at 4/5 with Sky Wager ought to go shut.
As ought to Dwight McNeil’s goalscorer value of 4/1 with Sky Wager.
He is revelling in taking part in in a extra central position behind Dominic Calvert-Lewin and has posted two or extra photographs in 4 of his final 5 appearances, racking up 12 photographs in complete and located the online towards Aston Villa.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-2
Nottingham Forest vs Fulham, Saturday 3pm
Backing the shape horse is normally a sensible tactic in betting and Fulham are galloping alongside properly underneath Marco Silva, who but once more is exhibiting what a wise operator he’s. His entrance 4 are a harmful proposition, led by the irresistible Adama Traore down the precise flank. A visit to Forest, who’re with out their star man Morgan Gibbs-White, seems to be an excellent alternative for the away facet at 19/10 with Sky Wager.
Gibbs-White has missed seven video games since Forest have been promoted they usually’ve misplaced 5 of these, scoring simply 5 instances within the course of and averaging simply 0.79 anticipated objectives per 90. Plus, the Metropolis Floor has solely seen the house facet win on three events from the final 16 Premier League video games. Fulham ought to maintain no worry. They need to be backed to keep away from defeat.
SCORE PREDICTION: 0-2 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Fulham double likelihood (4/6 with Sky Wager, a part of 9/1 treble)
Wolves vs Liverpool, Saturday 5.30pm, stay on Sky Sports activities – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
In the event you embody their Carabao Cup match towards Brighton, Wolves may have performed all seven of the highest eight within the Premier League already this season after this match. It has been a rotten fixture checklist.
That makes them a tough staff to evaluate, particularly after they’ve posted some encouraging performances and racked up some wholesome underlying numbers. Gary O’Neil’s staff have conceded virtually seven extra objectives than their anticipated objectives towards numbers recommend – the most important defensive underperformance.
These numbers will shut, doubtlessly this weekend. Wolves are owed a little bit of luck and Liverpool confirmed of their defeat to Nottingham Forest this Arne Slot staff will undergo some sticky patches this season. Wolves to keep away from defeat at 9/4 with Sky Wager seems to be a giant value.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
Ipswich vs Aston Villa, Sunday 2pm, stay on Sky Sports activities – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
Ipswich are having to change into a bit nastier than they have been within the Championship so as to attempt to survive at this degree.
They’re making extra fouls (14.2), receiving extra yellow playing cards (3) and making extra tackles (18.4) than they did per 90 within the Championship. Aston Villa are additionally a staff that like confrontation and this seems to be a possible firecracker of an encounter the place the playing cards line is a price play at 10/11 with Sky Wager for 50+ reserving factors.
Referees are as fussy as ever within the Premier League and 19 of the final 23 matches have seen 50+ reserving factors dished out.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: 50+ reserving factors (10/11 with Sky Wager, a part of 9/1 treble)
Manchester United vs Tottenham, Sunday 4.30pm, stay on Sky Sports activities – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
This must be the trickiest sport of the weekend to kind a powerful opinion on. It may finish 4-1 both approach. It may finish 4-4. I have not a clue.
I do suppose Manchester United are bettering on what we noticed final season, only a fundamental drawdown of their baffling information from final season proves that. They’ve solely confronted 10 photographs per sport this season after going through 17.6 per sport final season and are averaging simply 3.1 corners per sport conceded this season which was at a outstanding 7.3 final season, probably the most of any Premier League staff.
In the meantime, Tottenham’s document towards top-11 groups away from residence because the begin of final season is terrible, profitable two of 12 matches, and conceding a mean of two.2 objectives per sport.
The 13/10 on a house win did tempt me however I am not fairly reliable sufficient of United but to speculate.
A high-scoring draw it’s then.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-2
Bournemouth vs Southampton, Monday 8pm, stay on Sky Sports activities
When there may be Tyler Dibling, there may be hope for Southampton this season.
We’d simply be wanting on the subsequent celebrity in English soccer primarily based on his early output.
The 18-year-old academy product wowed on debut towards Manchester United, bamboozling Diogo Dalot who made 4 fouls towards him, together with one to win Saints a penalty. He then scored his first objective of his profession within the 1-1 draw with Ipswich and created one other huge second for Cameron Archer, who hit the publish with a wasteful end.
His attacking output and the best way he strikes with the ball jogs my memory of Jack Grealish – and he attracts fouls like him too, profitable eight fouls in his two Premier League begins. His reverse quantity Milos Kerkez may be in for a difficult night and appears a spot of worth to be carded at 9/2 with Sky Wager.