Joe Schulz of WPR: “The economy is the top issue for Wisconsin voters, but most have a negative view”:
Stephen Brown, who’s transferring to Oshkosh from Rockford, Illinois, mentioned he doesn’t assume the economic system is as dangerous as Republicans say, nevertheless it’s not fairly nearly as good as Democrats say both.
Whereas the Wisconsin economic system is, by most standard macro indicators, doing effectively, it’s true there’s a partisan divide by way of perceptions of how effectively the Wisconsin economic system is doing.
Supply: Marquette Legislation Faculty ballot, April 2024.
Apparently, the WisconSays/LaFollette ballot (Summer time-Fall 2023) signifies that there isn’t a partisan divide insofar because the economic system is an issue.
Supply: WisconSays/La Follette.
The distinction in indications might come up due to timing, or due to wording (or each). My view is that the latter is extra seemingly the supply of the distinction. The Marquette ballot query is probably going eliciting perceptions concerning the path of the economic system. The WisconSays ballot query, in distinction, is probably going capturing perceptions of the monetary conditions dealing with particular person respondents.
An analogous distinction happens in nationwide polls, as famous by Krugman. Because the perceived state of the economic system differs from the situations dealing with a person survey respondent, the previous may be closely influenced information protection (see Harris and Sojourner, 2024).
