System 1’s driver marketplace for the 2025 continues to fascinate with 9 of subsequent season’s 20 seats nonetheless unfilled nearly midway by this yr.
Whereas Sergio Perez – and a coveted Pink Bull seat – at the moment are off the market, Esteban Ocon is unquestionably on it after the Frenchman’s time at Alpine confirmed to be coming to an finish after 5 seasons on the workforce.
So what subsequent for Ocon and the Alpine workforce he’s leaving? And what is the newest on Carlos Sainz’s System 1 future, 4 months after the shock information that he had misplaced his Ferrari seat for 2025 to Lewis Hamilton?
Talking earlier than Perez’s anticipated Pink Bull renewal was confirmed, David Croft and Simon Lazenby joined the Sky Sports activities F1 podcast earlier than flying to this weekend’s Canadian Grand Prix to evaluate the newest image…
What now for Ocon after Alpine?
Aged 27 and with 141 grands prix underneath his belt, together with a win on the 2021 Hungarian GP, Ocon is theoretically coming into the prime of his profession and, Monaco apart, has outperformed Pierre Gasly in a tough Alpine automobile to date this season.
Nonetheless, the Frenchman’s choices to proceed in F1 appear to be restricted to the realm of the grid the place struggling Alpine are presently racing. Ocon seems to be a ‘Plan B’ for Sauber/Audi ought to they not land Sainz, whereas he has additionally been linked to a seat at Haas.
Following paddock discussions he had on the Thursday of the Monaco GP, Croft says this week’s information of the Frenchman’s Alpine exit didn’t come as a shock to him, even earlier than Ocon’s first-lap collision with team-mate Gasly that so angered Alpine’s boss three days later within the Principality.
“I got the distinct impression that Esteban wasn’t top of the shopping list for Alpine for next year and beyond,” mentioned Croft.
“There were a lot of driver’s names being mentioned and Esteban wasn’t particularly high up on that. I’m not saying they wanted to get rid of him at that stage, but he wasn’t uppermost in their thoughts.
“Then we went to the press convention and Esteban was extolling the virtues of driving in Le Mans and competing in WEC [World Endurance Championship] and that always smacks of a driver who’s holding his choices open for his forthcoming profession.
“Then in fact we had the race the place, as soon as once more, he had a coming collectively and, as soon as once more, it was along with his team-mate, and I believe which may have hastened the choice.
“Bruno Famin, the team principal, was rightly non-pleased with what happened. Whether his mind was made up before I’m not sure, I think it was definitely made up afterwards, and that transpired with the news that we had.
“Esteban Ocon is a extremely really pretty human being, I’ve bought plenty of time for him, however he does have these moments with these team-mates, and it would not essentially do his CV any favours.
“He has been talking to other teams, so it’s not that we are definitely going to lose Ocon from Formula 1. I hope we don’t; there is potential out there for him.
“He actually is on the shortlist for Haas together with plenty of different drivers as properly. However he is speaking up different collection, and that did not come as a lot of a shock as properly within the [Monaco] press convention.”
Who could replace Ocon at Alpine?
The Enstone outfit are one of three teams with neither of their seats yet filled for 2025, although Gasly is expected to stay on.
Renault-owned Alpine represent one of only four current teams with ‘works’ status – an engine manufacturer’s priority outfit – but are mired in a period of upheaval on and off track. They currently sit ninth in the constructors’ standings with only two points on the board.
“Proper now, issues aren’t very rosy within the Alpine backyard, so what are they taking a look at?” asked Lazenby of the Enstone team’s approach to their driver line-up.
“Are they going to have the ability to entice the highest echelons on the grid? I believe the reply within the medium time period will depend on their dedication going ahead and now we have seen this earlier than the place they’ve had a 4 or a five-year plan.
“Everyone’s got a four or five-year plan. Alpine’s, or Renault’s as it was, never seems to materialise so it depends what they put in place going forward and how that Renault engine is looking from 2026 onwards.
“In the end, they’re a works workforce and drivers need to put themselves able the place they’re driving for a works workforce. However to counter that argument, take a look at what’s occurring with Mercedes this yr whereby one among their prospects [McLaren] is nearly double the factors forward of them
“So they’ve got to get their house in order.”
Assessing a few of the attainable contenders for 2026, Croft mentioned: “Jack Doohan is a very lively candidate and would be a very good candidate.
“Pierre Gasly is still there and I’m sure would like a contract to stay in Formula 1 for next year, and that might be his best option.
“Valtteri Bottas is likely to be on the scene as properly, however I believe he is unlikely to go to Alpine, he is taking a look at different locations.”
Zhou Guanyu is another linked with the team with the Chinese driver himself likely seeking pastures new for next year with Sauber having already signed Nico Hulkenberg and seemingly looking elsewhere for their second seat.
Could Zhou, China’s first F1 driver, offer Alpine a different solution?
“They want funding and, whereas they’re a works workforce, I do not assume they obtain related ranges of funding as, say, Pink Bull, Ferrari and Mercedes do,” added Croft.
“There’s hypothesis that Zhou Guanyu and his backers is likely to be keen to take a position. Zhou is a former Renault academy driver, so it might be going again to the secure that bought him into F1 within the first place.
“Say Zhou and his backers were prepared to take a 30 per cent stake in Alpine, invest money into the facilities at Enstone and future staff – of which they have lost a lot of top-end staff in the past 12 months – then that might be the zenith that the team needs and the turnaround that they are looking for.
“However what is going on on with the engine for 2026: has Viry-Chatillon give you a extremely good energy unit? We do not know.
“So it’s a two-fold thing. Renault need to invest in the power unit, someone needs to invest in Enstone, and then you’ve got a works team that people want to start driving for. I don’t think a driver is necessary going to make all the difference at Enstone, not by a long shot.”
Sauber/Audi or Williams for Sainz?
Until Max Verstappen causes the second driver market shock of the yr and decides to go away Pink Bull earlier than the expiry of his contract in 2028, then it’s Sainz who stays the central cog to the remainder of the motive force market.
With a Mercedes transfer to switch Hamilton understood to be off the desk, and Pink Bull renewing Perez’s deal, the choice for three-time race winner Sainz seems to have come all the way down to a direct alternative between long-time pursuers Sauber/Audi and Williams, whose curiosity within the Spaniard emerged over the Monaco GP weekend.
“[Williams team principal] James Vowles is a very, very inspiring person. He has a strategy, he knows that nothing is going to happen overnight, and he is selling a dream,” defined Croft.
“He sold a dream to Albon, who also has a lot of faith in the Mercedes power unit for 2026, and can he get Sainz? Well, the answer to that is ‘yes, he can’.
“I’ve spoken to the Sainz camp on this one – he is bought a choice, Audi or Williams. There isn’t any deadline from Audi. That had been reported but it surely’s not true, he did not need to make his thoughts up by the tip of Could. It isn’t about cash. It is about the place Carlos sees the imaginative and prescient for the longer term.
“So do you put your faith in a brand-new project [Audi] that you know is an entity that has been successful in world motorsport on many occasions in the past but not in Formula 1? Or do you put your faith in a rather more known entity that has been successful in F1 but has been in very much lean times over the last few years?
“Personally, hand on coronary heart, I believe he’ll go to Williams. I believe that’s the place Carlos Sainz is heading as a result of he can see what’s in entrance of him with Williams. He most likely cannot see the Audi imaginative and prescient in the intervening time as a result of there’s not a lot to inform. They have not taken over at Sauber, they’re constructing energy items however that is it. If James Vowles will get him, then honest play to him…as a result of that is a serious coup and a superb driver line-up that may energy that workforce for a few years to come back.”
Lazenby added: “I believe Sainz was Horner’s man a bit of bit inside this and if he was going to come back again [at Red Bull] it was going to be Horner convincing him to take action. However I believe the most important downside there was again from the Toro Rossos and it is the fathers not notably seeing eye to eye, and which may have proved an excessive amount of of a difficult factor for them to need to deal with.
“Mercedes I don’t think he’s in the running for so it is a direct [decision] between Sauber/Audi and Williams. The case for Williams at the moment is performance because just look at how Sauber are performing on track. [Sauber] have got a long way to go, but Williams is quite a strong case at the moment for him.”
System 1 leaves Europe for the ultimate time earlier than the summer time break because the championship strikes on to Montreal for the Canadian Grand Prix. Watch each session on the Circuit Gilles Villeneuve this weekend reside on Sky Sports activities F1, with Sunday’s race at 7pm. Stream each F1 race and extra with a NOW Sports activities Month Membership – No contract, cancel anytime