Tag: Recession
In Actual Time, Does a Downturn in Family Survey Employment Higher Presage a Recession than One within the Institution Survey?
Right here’s the present scenario: Determine 1: Civilian employment over age 16 (blue, left log scale), nonfarm payroll employment (tan,…
what we imply by ‘recession’ issues
Good morning, it’s Jenn Hughes right here filling in for Rob. Shares aren’t positive what stability to strike between higher…
Manufacturing in Recession? (Revisited) | Econbrowser
Excessive frequency indicators (PMI, and so forth.) recommend — and have advised — a slowdown in manufacturing. Nonetheless, different indicators…
China on the Fringe of Recession
China is on the sting of recession — excluding Covid, for the primary time since 2008 — as new information…
In-Pattern and Out-of-Pattern Recession Chances
No obvious recession as of August 2024 information (my interpretation – see the opposing views right here). Utilizing year-ago monetary…
Disciplining the Debate: Recession Indicator AUROCs
One of many attention-grabbing issues concerning the present debate over whether or not we’re about to enter a recession or…
